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Plan now for 2027.

You’re probably here because you’ve seen the news…
The GuardianCoverage of the UN’s El Niño warning.
UN / WMOVery strong El Niño expected into 2027.
NOAAOver 90% chance of a very strong event.
More articles +

Why the 2027 outlook matters

Sources reviewed 5 September 2026

  • WMO: Could this event be historic? ↗

    WMO says continued strengthening could take this event beyond its four-decade monitoring record, with effects on global temperatures lasting into 2027.

  • NOAA: How strong could El Niño become? ↗

    The August outlook gives a 69% chance of a historic event in late 2026 and over 90% odds of a very strong event through autumn and winter 2026–27.

  • WMO: The forecast into early 2027 ↗

    The international forecast shows near-certain persistence through February 2027, with potential for major shifts in temperature and rainfall.

  • Canada: What El Niño means here ↗

    Canadian impacts are usually strongest in winter and spring, often bringing milder weather to western and central Canada.

A very strong El Niño is often called a “super El Niño.” These are forecasts, not a guarantee of local summer heat or wildfire conditions. Regional outlooks matter.

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